Wednesday, February 6, 2008

Last Night at a Glance -- Both Clinton and Obama Won

UPDATED NUMBERS -- Obama won more states.
  • Obama: 14 (plus 2)-- Alabama, Alaska, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, Georgia, Idaho, Illinois, Kansas, Minnesota, Missouri, New Mexico, North Dakota, Utah (plus earlier winning Iowa and South Carolina)
  • Clinton: 8 (plus 2) -- Arkansas, Arizona, California, Oklahoma, Massachusetts, New Jersey, New York and Tennessee (plus earlier winning New Hampshire and Nevada)
Clinton won more delegates.
  • Clinton: 641.
  • Obama: 633.
Or, if you look at grand totals so far, Clinton has a slight edge. According to MSNBC's unofficial count which includes super delegates, some of whom have not gone public:
  • Clinton: 811 -- includes 193 super delegates
  • Obama: 720 -- includes 111 super delegates
Note that super delegates in a tight contest are notoriously fickle, so when the polls move around, so so the decisions of the super delegates. As we watch this contest move into the next several weeks, the promises of super delegates need to be weighed with great care.

Other "facts at a glance" that we found interesting:
  • Clinton won the largest of the primary states and did best among the following:
    • Middle-aged voters and seniors
    • Women
    • Hispanics (6 in 10)
    • Voters most concerned about health care and the economy.
    • Low income and less educated.
  • Obama won all the Caucus states and also won states in every region of the country and he did best among the following:
      • Voters under age 44
      • White men
      • African Americans (8 in 10)
      • Voters concerned about Iraq; voters who want change.
      • Higher income voters and better educated.
Later today, we'll do a similar review of the Republicans, and also review what the differences in the popular vote were.




No comments: